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▲ Solana (SOL)/AI generated image ©
Despite positive signals in the derivatives market and explosive growth in the Real World Asset (RWA) ecosystem, Solana (SOL) is stuck, unable to break the $85 barrier, spinning its wheels amidst extreme public indifference and stagnant institutional capital inflows.
According to investment media outlet FXStreet on April 29 (local time), Solana has slipped more than 3% over the past two days, hovering at $84.58 as of Wednesday. CoinGlass data showed Solana's long/short ratio hit a one-month high of 1.08 on Tuesday, and the weighted funding rate for open interest also turned positive at 0.0018%, indicating traders are strongly betting on an uptrend. Furthermore, news that Solana's Real World Asset ecosystem's total value reached a record high of $2.5 billion supported the network's strong fundamentals and long-term growth potential.
However, these positive indicators are overshadowed by cooling market interest and are failing to gain traction. According to Santiment data, Solana's social dominance (share of mentions) plummeted to 0.55% on Wednesday, clearly showing that it is rapidly losing investor interest.
The wait-and-see attitude of institutional investors is also significant. According to SoSoValue data, the Solana spot ETF market has been in a stagnant state this week with almost no capital inflows or outflows. If capital flows turn to outflows in a few days, it could act as strong selling pressure, dragging Solana's price into a deeper abyss.
Technical analysis also presents a gloomy outlook. Solana, trading at $84.58, faces heavy resistance overhead from the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $86.72, followed by the 100-day EMA at $95.36, and the 200-day EMA at $115.06, indicating a prevalent short-term bearish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovers around 48, and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) remains slightly in negative territory, suggesting weak momentum for a rebound.
If Solana attempts a rebound, it must first break through the tight resistance zone of the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement at $86.67 and the 50-day Exponential Moving Average at $86.72 to advance towards the top of the parallel channel at $92.11 and the 100-day Exponential Moving Average at $95.36. However, if upward momentum is lost and downward pressure intensifies, the primary support level would be the bottom of the channel at $77.12, and if selling pressure accelerates, a painful correction down to $67.50 is inevitable.
*Disclaimer: This article is for investment reference only, and we are not responsible for any investment losses based on it. The content should be interpreted for informational purposes only.*
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