Will Solana Break $100? Big Players in Futures Market Quietly Made Their Moves First

▲ Solana (SOL)/AI-generated image

Bullish positions are rapidly accumulating in the Solana (SOL) futures market, reigniting the possibility of breaking through $100. As demand from individual investors and institutions improves simultaneously, the breakthrough of a long-term resistance trendline on the short-term chart is presented as a key basis for an upward scenario.

FXStreet reported on May 6 that Solana was trading above $87 on Wednesday, extending its rally for three consecutive days. Bullish bets are increasing in the Solana futures market, and steady capital inflows into Solana spot ETFs suggest that market expectations are leaning towards further upside.

According to CoinGlass data, Solana futures open interest increased by over 7% in the past 24 hours, reaching $5.26 billion. An increase in open interest generally indicates expanded leverage exposure or new position entries, interpreted as a sign of revitalized trading activity. The funding rate also recorded a positive value of 0.0059%, confirming a trend of paying a premium for long positions.

Liquidation data also supported the buy-side dominance. The total liquidation amount in the past 24 hours was $7.27 million, with short position liquidations accounting for $6.69 million. The long/short ratio also surged from 1.0319 on Wednesday to 1.1442, indicating an increase in active long positions. In terms of institutional demand, Solana spot ETFs recorded a net inflow of $1.74 million on Tuesday and $3.28 million the day before.

Technical trends also support the upside. Solana is trading above the 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of $84.82 and the 200-period EMA of $85.04 on the 4-hour chart, with this range acting as a bottom support level. The fact that it secured support near $86.45 after breaking through the previous downtrend resistance line also strengthened the short-term bullish structure. The 4-hour Relative Strength Index (RSI) approached 68, close to the overbought threshold of 70, and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) maintained a strong histogram in the positive zone above the signal line.

Upper resistance levels are presented at $87.76, $91.26, $94.40, $97.62, and $100.80. Conversely, in case of a decline, immediate support is near the reclaimed trendline at $86.45, with the 200-period EMA at $85.04 and the 50-period EMA at $84.82 identified as concentrated demand zones during corrections. Solana's short-term movement is focused on whether it will attempt to break $100 amid continued expansion of futures positions and ETF inflows.

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