On Polymarket, the predicted probability that Strategy will sell BTC before May 31 has fallen to 24%. This is a 16 percentage point decrease compared to 24 hours ago. Currently, Strategy's BTC selling probability is recorded at 69% before June 30 and 88% before year-end (December 31), with each falling by 3-6 percentage points over 24 hours. This is interpreted as the impact of Strategy re-withdrawing 411 BTC, the same amount it had deposited to Coinbase the previous day. The market interprets this move as partially alleviating concerns about a BTC sale. Meanwhile, Strategy had mentioned the possibility of selling BTC during the recent convertible bond repurchase process, but no actual BTC sale has been confirmed to date.
