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▲ Altcoin/AI Generated Image
The altcoin market has entered a historically oversold zone, reaching a technical critical point for a new upward cycle.
Dan Gambardello, host of the cryptocurrency YouTube channel Crypto Capital Venture, analyzed in a video released on April 16 (local time) that the altcoin market capitalization is forming a strong bottom around $1 trillion. Gambardello emphasized that the current market remains in the most brutal oversold territory seen in every cycle, which has historically always been a turning point for a rebound. He specifically cited a favorable shift in the macroeconomic environment, such as a rise in the manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index and the end of quantitative tightening, as positive signals.
Ethereum (ETH) is garnering market expectations, showing a fractal structure similar to just before its massive surge at the end of 2024. Gambardello explained that Ethereum is maintaining a pattern of higher lows on the daily chart and sending reversal signals on key indicators such as the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) and Relative Strength Index (RSI). Breaking through the 200-day moving average, around $2,800, based on support from the 20-day and 50-day moving averages, is a key task for a short-term rally.
Cardano (ADA) and Sui (SUI) are also analyzed to be in the final stages of bottoming out according to momentum indicators. For Cardano, the moment the MACD histogram rises above the zero line and turns green is expected to be a strong buy signal. Sui's monthly stochastic RSI is showing an extremely oversold condition, having completed a downtrend correction of over a year and entered a phase of energy accumulation. Gambardello diagnosed these indicators as a prelude to the altcoin season.
Regarding DOG, a Bitcoin-based memecoin, a long-term value investment perspective was maintained despite its severe price drop. A decline of 91% to 94% from its peak is within the typical volatility range of the altcoin market, and its symbolic status as the number one memecoin within the Bitcoin network remains intact. Particularly, the overwhelming community engagement on social media platforms like X (formerly Twitter) is expected to be a driving force for explosive growth when a future bull market arrives.
As pessimistic market sentiment prevails, it is crucial to remain emotionally unswayed and maintain a calm, data-driven macro perspective. Gambardello believes that altcoins are currently testing support around the 200-week moving average, and the market's direction will be determined by whether short-term resistance levels are broken. Investors should closely monitor changes in individual asset technical indicators and exercise utmost caution in managing risks associated with increased volatility.
*Disclaimer: This article is for investment reference only, and we are not responsible for any investment losses based on it. The content should be interpreted for informational purposes only.*
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