XRP $50 Prediction Debate... The True Meaning of Ripple's Statement

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While predictions that XRP (Ripple) will rise to $50 by 2026 have resurfaced, key market figures and institutions are raising strong doubts about its feasibility.

According to cryptocurrency media Watcher.Guru on April 18 (local time), an interpretation has recently spread within the community that Ripple implicitly set a $50 target for XRP. This debate was sparked by an analysis connecting the projected global stablecoin transaction volume of $33 trillion with the price of XRP.

The $33 trillion figure refers to the global stablecoin transaction volume presented by Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse, serving as an indicator to emphasize the potential of blockchain-based payment infrastructure. However, some investors are directly linking this to XRP demand and interpreting it as a basis for price increases, but critics point out that this is an expanded interpretation different from the original intent.

Indeed, the $50 prediction faces high hurdles even with simple calculations. To reach this level, XRP's market capitalization would need to exceed $3 trillion, which is more than double the current market capitalization of Bitcoin. David Schwartz, former Ripple CTO, also expressed skepticism about XRP reaching $50-$100 in the short term.

Institutional forecasts are much more conservative. Geoffrey Kendrick of Standard Chartered suggested XRP price targets of $8 by 2026 and $28 by 2030, showing a discrepancy with market expectations. This is a significant gap compared to the $50 scenario currently being discussed.

The key variable is the actual demand structure. Currently, institutional settlements are centered around RLUSD and fiat currencies, and On-Demand Liquidity (ODL), which directly drives XRP demand, has not yet reached a large-scale expansion phase. Ultimately, the direction of XRP's price depends on the regulatory environment, such as the U.S. cryptocurrency market structure bill and the CLARITY Act, and the speed of institutional capital inflow.

*Disclaimer: This article is for investment reference only, and we are not responsible for any investment losses based on it. The content should be interpreted for informational purposes only.*