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As XRP attempts to break through $1.50, three key upcoming events have emerged as crucial variables that will determine its future direction.
Virtual asset specialized media Decrypt reported that XRP has recently continued its upward trend, approaching the $1.50 mark. The recovery of risk asset preference across the overall market was cited as the backdrop for this rise.
Market analyst Sam Daodu stated that the next two weeks will be a watershed moment for determining XRP's direction. The first variable is the scheduled expiration of the Iran ceasefire on April 22nd. He explained that if the ceasefire is not extended and conflict reignites, downward pressure on the overall market could increase.
The second is the schedule for the US cryptocurrency market structure bill (CLARITY). An analysis suggested that if the bill is not discussed before the end of April and is postponed until May or later, market expectations could weaken.
The third is the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting scheduled from April 28th to 29th. Market reactions, combined with interest rate direction, geopolitical risks, and regulatory variables, were highlighted as key factors.
Daodu presented three scenarios based on the combination of these three variables. In an optimistic scenario, if the ceasefire is extended and the bill progresses simultaneously, XRP could rise to the $1.50 to $1.90 range.
In a neutral scenario, if the ceasefire is maintained but the bill's processing is delayed, XRP is likely to fluctuate within the $1.35 to $1.50 range.
In a pessimistic scenario, if conflict reignites and oil prices rise simultaneously, XRP could fall to the $1.15 to $1.30 range.
The recent upward trend is interpreted as more than a simple technical rebound, but rather a movement directly linked to the macro environment and regulatory issues. The upcoming major events are expected to serve as key turning points for XRP's price movement.
*Disclaimer: This article is for investment reference only, and we are not responsible for any investment losses based on it. The content should be interpreted for informational purposes only.*
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