$80,000 in April vs. Q2 Plunge... Bitcoin's Direction is Divided

▲ Bitcoin (BTC) ©Go Da-sol

Despite expectations of breaking through $80,000, Bitcoin (BTC) is showing a mixed trend of gains and corrections, increasing market tension regarding its direction by the end of April.

According to Watcher.Guru, a cryptocurrency specialized media outlet, on April 18 (local time), Bitcoin recently recovered the $75,000 level, raising short-term bullish expectations. However, it is simultaneously continuing an 'amplitude market' that also carries the possibility of future declines. The market views the breakthrough of $80,000 as a key turning point.

Expectations for institutional capital inflow remain strong. A Nomura survey revealed that approximately 80% of institutional investors are preparing to invest in Bitcoin and digital assets. Experts assess that if such waiting funds actually flow into the market, it could become a mid-to-long-term upward driver.

Technical analysis also partly supports bullish signals. Bitcoin has broken through a 7-month downtrend line, and a golden cross has occurred in the weekly Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator. Some analysts suggest the possibility of an ascent to the $78,000-$80,000 range if Bitcoin recovers $76,000.

However, the possibility of a correction after a short-term peak is also raised simultaneously. Analyst Ted predicted that Bitcoin could form a short-term peak around $77,000-$78,000 and then search for new lows in Q2 2026. This scenario suggests a rebound in Q3 if changes in Fed policy and liquidity expansion align.

Quantitative model forecasts are more aggressive. CoinCodex analyzed that Bitcoin could rise to a maximum of $82,000 by the end of April. Simultaneously, long-term upward possibilities were presented, reaching $81,641 by year-end, $166,372 in 2030, $968,339 in 2040, and $1.43 million in 2050.

*Disclaimer: This article is for investment reference only, and we are not responsible for investment losses based on it. The content should be interpreted for informational purposes only.*