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▲ Bitcoin (BTC), Gold/AI Generated Image
Recently, a scenario of Bitcoin (BTC) price collapse has spread among bears. However, historical price indicators and the aggressive accumulation by large whales suggest that the virtual asset market is in the pre-stage of a massive rally towards new all-time highs.
On April 23 (local time), cryptocurrency analyst Lark Davis presented key indicators supporting Bitcoin's long-term bullish outlook in a video uploaded to his YouTube channel. Davis noted that Bitcoin's 4-year cycle search volume on Google Trends reached an all-time high. Considering the market's tendency to move in the opposite direction when public confidence peaks, a strong rebound is likely to occur when everyone expects a decline in October.
Bitcoin's chart shows a pattern very similar to that of Gold just before its significant price breakout in the past. If we apply Gold's past 150% surge to Bitcoin, the target price for this cycle reaches $300,000. This figure also aligns with the Fibonacci 4.236 retracement level. Historical repetition beyond short-term price corrections serves as a basis for a major bull market.
Continuous accumulation by large investors acts as a support line, defending against market downturns. Michael Saylor, founder of Strategy, stated that he would not stop buying Bitcoin until his holdings reach 7.5% of the total supply. Currently holding 800,000 BTC, Saylor needs to acquire approximately another 800,000 BTC over the next 18 months, and this massive buying pressure is expected to drive market prices.
Technical indicators are also signaling an upward reversal. A golden cross of the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) has been confirmed on the weekly chart, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has moved out of the oversold zone. Ethereum (ETH) also shows a positive trend. Tom Lee recently demonstrated confidence by purchasing 100,000 ETH, worth approximately $250 million. The total market capitalization of the altcoin market has also broken through a multi-month downtrend line, preparing for a new wave.
Investors should be wary of high-risk products designed by venture capitalists for profit-taking. Some funds charge a high expense ratio of 3.61% and hold more than half of their assets in cash, merely collecting fees. As there is a risk of these being used as a means for insiders to offload holdings, focus should be on intrinsic growth indicators such as increased virtual asset adoption rates and wallet usage.
*Disclaimer: This article is for investment reference only, and we are not responsible for any investment losses based on it. The content should be interpreted for informational purposes only.*
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