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▲ Bitcoin (BTC) ©CoinReaders
Bitcoin (BTC), backed by massive institutional fund inflows, is on the verge of reclaiming the $80,000 mark, but a sense of tension is lingering in the market that a massive wave of profit-taking sales from investors who have reached their breakeven point could flood in.
According to investment media FXStreet on April 24 (local time), Bitcoin's recent recovery to the $76,000 level is attributed to strong institutional demand and improved market structure. In particular, US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds saw net inflows of $1.12 billion over five trading days until April 21, with funds totaling $1.87 billion flowing in over the past month. Gabe Selby, Head of Research at CF Benchmarks, diagnosed that these large-scale fund flows are not speculative capital from short-term retail investors or hedge funds, but rather funds from large institutional investors such as asset managers and major asset channels.
Furthermore, the giant corporation Strategy additionally accumulated 34,164 Bitcoins last week, investing approximately $2.54 billion, providing a solid support base for the bull market. The synchronization between the leading cryptocurrency and the stock market is also becoming clear again. The 90-day rolling correlation with the Nasdaq 100 index rose from 0.49 in early October to 0.58 as of April 21, suggesting that the recent strength in the New York stock market is supporting the rally in the crypto market.
However, despite strengthening upward momentum, on-chain data warns that the $80,000 range will be the most severe test. According to CryptoQuant data, the realized price of fund investors is around $76,400, close to the current spot price of $78,000. This marks the first time this group has reached its breakeven point since entering a loss-making range in late January.
The realized price of short-term holding whales is also formed around $79,600, slightly higher than the current price. They have endured a period with a total of $4.3 billion in unrealized losses since November. MorenoDivi, an analyst at CryptoQuant, warned that the concentration of the realized prices of these two key investor groups at the current price level is a very sensitive situation, and that the typical pattern of behavioral on-chain analysis, where massive profit-taking pressure emerges when capital trapped in losses finally recovers its breakeven point, could repeat.
Experts unanimously agree that if the leading cryptocurrency stably breaks through $80,000, that resistance level will convert into a new strong support level. If Bitcoin, currently trading around the $78,300 mark, fails to cross the $80,000 threshold, it is expected to undergo a long and tedious period of market consolidation throughout the second quarter to absorb investors' selling volume.
*Disclaimer: This article is for investment reference only, and we are not responsible for investment losses based on it. The content should be interpreted for informational purposes only.*
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