If it breaks down to $1, if it breaks through to $5... XRP's huge inflection point

▲ Ripple (XRP) ©

A forecast has emerged that if XRP (Ripple) successfully breaks through $1.67, it could enter a strong revaluation phase towards $5.

According to the investment media outlet TradingNews on April 28 (local time), XRP traded at $1.40 that day, pulling back from its recent high of around $1.45. XRP, which has been confined to a $1.30-$1.50 range this year, has now entered its third attempt to break through the weekly Ichimoku Cloud. An analysis suggests that if the weekly closing price is confirmed above $1.67, it could rise to $2.60 and then to $5 in the long term.

The key turning points are $1.30 and $1.67. $1.30 serves as a baseline separating upward and downward movements; a break below it increases the risk of a decline to $1.20 and $1.00. Conversely, if it overcomes the $1.50 resistance and breaks above the $1.67 Ichimoku Cloud top, a technical trend similar to the 580% surge in 2024 and 65% rise in 2025 could recur.

Regulation and institutional fund flows were also cited as variables supporting the bullish scenario. On April 27, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) issued a notice to include XRP in a Commodity-Based Trust Shares framework, which allows for expedited review. Furthermore, XRP spot ETFs recorded an inflow of $82 million in April, and according to SoSoValue, there has not been a single day of net outflow since April 9.

However, there are also significant hurdles to overcome to reach $5. For XRP to rise from $1.40 to $5, it needs to increase by approximately 257%, which is a larger gain than the 160% required for Bitcoin (BTC) to rise from $77,000 to $200,000. The outlet pointed to the U.S. cryptocurrency market structure bill, the CLARITY Act's review schedule by the Senate Banking Committee, and a Bitcoin-led altcoin bull market as key variables that will determine XRP's further ascent.

TradingNews analyzed that while XRP is likely to move within the $1.30-$1.50 range in the short term, if a breakthrough of $1.67 is confirmed, $2.20, $2.60, $3.40, and $3.65 could become sequential price targets. Conversely, if the weekly closing price forms below $1.30, the bullish structure would be invalidated. The outlet described the current range as "the most bifurcated inflection point in multi-year trends," advising strategic investors to approach it incrementally within the $1.30-$1.40 range, while also needing to confirm macroeconomic variables and regulatory schedules.

*Disclaimer: This article is for investment reference only, and we are not responsible for any investment losses based on it. The content should be interpreted for informational purposes only.*