XRP Expected to Soar 53% If It Breaks $1.45... April Fund Inflows Alone Reach $83.9 Million

▲ XRP (Ripple) ETF ©

Behind the XRP (Ripple) Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) market, which has recently undergone price adjustments, massive institutional capital is quietly flowing in, setting a new record for the largest monthly fund inflow since late 2025. With significant whale accumulation and the imminent breakout of a huge symmetrical triangle pattern, market tension is rising, suggesting that an explosive price surge of over 50% could occur soon.

According to investment media TradingNews on April 29 (local time), the Volatility Shares XRP Spot ETF (XRPI) traded down 2.38% to $7.58 during the day, and the Rex-Osprey XRP Spot ETF (XRPR) fell 2.21% to $11.05, fully reflecting the recent downward pressure. However, contrary to the weak fund prices, XRP spot ETFs saw a net inflow of a staggering $83.9 million in April, completely reversing the $31.16 million outflow in March. Notably, funds poured in for 11 out of the recent 13 trading days, accumulating a total of $82.42 million, and the total assets under management for the five major spot products approached $1.38 billion, demonstrating strong institutional buying.

This institutional interest is spreading beyond the US to the rest of the world. Global XRP Exchange Traded Products (ETPs) attracted $25 million in funds over the past week, recording cumulative net inflows of $148 million this year, raising the total global AUM to approximately $2.6 billion. On-chain data also supports these claims of institution-led accumulation. On the global exchange Binance, large transactions withdrawing over 1 million XRP accounted for approximately 60% of the total outflow value, clearly indicating a typical bullish precursor where large whales absorb selling pressure in the spot market and quietly move assets off exchanges.

The underlying XRP spot price for the fund is currently trading between $1.36 and $1.40, consolidating energy towards the apex of a large symmetrical triangle pattern. The key support level of $1.40 is a strong defense line where the 20-day exponential moving average and the 200-week exponential moving average converge. If XRP firmly breaks the upper resistance line of $1.45 on a daily closing basis, it could sequentially overcome the 100-day exponential moving average at $1.52 and the 200-day exponential moving average at $1.75, soaring to $2.15, an approximately 53% increase from the current price. The Relative Strength Index remains neutral at 49, but the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicates continuous momentum improvement.

The next 96 hours are filled with critical macroeconomic and event-driven variables that will determine XRP's short-term fate. While the US Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates frozen between 3.50% and 3.75%, macroeconomic uncertainties such as Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's press conference remarks and the oil price surge triggered by the Iran conflict could shake the direction of the entire risk asset market. Furthermore, if major announcements, such as the growth of the real-world asset ecosystem to a $3 billion scale, are made at the XRP Las Vegas 2026 conference scheduled for this Thursday and Friday, it could act as a catalyst for an explosive rally. However, if the event lacks substance, there is also the risk of a downward correction, reminiscent of the "buy the rumor, sell the news" phenomenon in the past.

Experts analyze that the current XRP spot price and related fund prices are severely undervalued compared to the scale of institutional fund inflows and fundamentals. The advice is to actively use the confirmation of a breakout of the $1.45 resistance level of the symmetrical triangle pattern or a price correction to the structural support level as a buying opportunity. The market is still exploring direction and trading sideways, but on-chain data, fund flow, and the improving regulatory environment clearly point to an uptrend. Therefore, if macroeconomic events are digested smoothly, XRP could establish itself as the strongest leader in the May market.

*Disclaimer: This article is for investment reference only, and we are not responsible for any investment losses based on it. The content should be interpreted for informational purposes only.*