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▲ Ripple (XRP) ©Go Dasol
A technical analysis suggests that XRP (Ripple), which has been in a boring sideways trend, is about to end the calm before a major storm and soon face a dramatic price fluctuation of up to 26%, raising market tension.
According to the cryptocurrency media outlet Finbold on May 2 (local time), prominent virtual asset analyst Ali Martinez stated on social media that XRP has reached the apex of a symmetrical triangular convergence pattern, narrowing between a descending resistance line near $1.45 and an ascending support line near $1.35. This pattern, where price volatility is extremely compressed, is typically a classic signal preceding a decisive breakout with a strong surge in one direction.
Based on the height of this triangular convergence pattern, analyst Martinez predicted that a significant price movement of approximately 26% could occur once a direction is set, whether upwards or downwards. If the $1.45 resistance line is broken on a daily closing basis, it could surge to $1.82 in one go. Conversely, if the $1.35 support line collapses, it could face a dizzying decline, sliding down to the $1 mark. He also warned that the current $1.35-$1.45 range is a very dangerous mixed zone where traders are easily fooled by false breakouts (whipsaws).
Anonymous analyst Batman also shared a similar view. He pointed out that XRP is currently testing the long-term ascending support line that it has firmly maintained since early February. Batman set the area around $1.36 as a critical juncture that will determine the fate of the trend, predicting that if it successfully bounces off this support, it could rise to the $1.45 to $1.50 resistance zone. However, if it fails to defend the support line, it could plummet below $1.20, solidifying a clear bearish continuation signal.
In the absence of its own ecosystem catalysts, XRP's short-term direction is likely to be strictly dependent on technical chart patterns and overall market sentiment for the time being. As of the time of reporting, XRP is trading at $1.39, up approximately 0.7% over the past 24 hours, but it remains down more than 3% on a weekly basis.
Current technical indicators lean towards short-term caution. The price is precisely on the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of $1.39, indicating a tight struggle between buying and selling pressure. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is also at 44.07, pointing to a neutral state, neither overbought nor oversold. However, the 200-day SMA, which indicates long-term trends, is located significantly above the current price at $1.81, suggesting that there is a long way to go until a complete bullish reversal.
*Disclaimer: This article is for investment reference only, and we are not responsible for any investment losses based on it. The content should be interpreted for informational purposes only.*
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