Ripple (XRP), Can It Go Back to $3? The Key Condition Is 'This'

XRP, conditions for reclaiming $3? Regulation, interest rates, and Bitcoin are key variables

▲ XRP/AI generated image ©

An analysis suggests that for XRP (Ripple) to recover to $3 again, it needs to be simultaneously supported by an improved regulatory environment, macroeconomic stability, and a Bitcoin bull market. It is evaluated that the key ingredients that led to its all-time high last year must be re-established to replicate the upward trend.

According to the cryptocurrency specialized media Watcher.Guru on July 4 (local time), XRP fell by about 70% to around $1 after reaching its all-time high of $3.65 in July 2025. The media reported that for XRP to return to a bullish trend and recover to $3, the key factors that drove last year's bull run need to be re-established.

The media cited the settlement of the lawsuit between the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and Ripple as the biggest catalyst for XRP's bull run in 2025. This settlement significantly resolved regulatory uncertainties surrounding XRP, and a U.S. court ruled that XRP purchases by individual investors are not subject to securities laws, but purchases by institutional investors are. Additionally, a general bull market where major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), Solana (SOL), and BNB all hit new all-time highs supported XRP's upward trend.

However, this upward trend did not last long. The media reported that from late 2025, investors began withdrawing funds from the cryptocurrency market due to macroeconomic uncertainties and geopolitical tensions, and the market environment further deteriorated after the conflict between the U.S. and Iran. Furthermore, with rising inflation in an uncertain global economic environment, XRP dropped to just above $1, the analysis stated.

The media emphasized that for XRP to reach $3 again, these negative factors must be resolved. Inflation needs to slow down, leading the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut interest rates, thereby restoring risk appetite. Additionally, a Bitcoin bull market that drives market growth needs to resume, and if the U.S. cryptocurrency market structure bill, the CLARITY Act, is passed to strengthen regulatory clarity and investor protection, the media predicts further upside for XRP along with improved investor sentiment.

*Disclaimer: This article is for investment reference only, and we are not responsible for any investment losses based on it. The content should be interpreted for informational purposes only.*