Dogecoin Frustrated at $0.1... Decline to 'Hell' Looms as Open Interest Decreases

▲ Dogecoin (DOGE)/AI Generated Image

Dogecoin (DOGE) price has fallen below the $0.10 mark due to decreased demand from individual investors and weakened market sentiment.

According to FXStreet, a virtual asset media outlet, on April 28 (local time), Dogecoin is trading around $0.098 after failing to break through the key resistance level of $0.100. This is a result of frozen investor sentiment across the entire virtual asset market ahead of the U.S. Federal Reserve's (Fed) interest rate decision. The Fear & Greed Index, which recorded 47 the previous day, dropped to 33 today, reflecting market anxiety. In particular, news that U.S. President Donald Trump halted the journey of a peace envoy attempting to head to Pakistan last Sunday also acted as a negative factor, dampening expectations for a diplomatic resolution to the Middle East conflict.

Individual investor enthusiasm in the Dogecoin derivatives market is also cooling down. Open interest decreased from $1.37 billion the previous day to $1.35 billion today. While this is higher than the year's low of $894 million recorded on March 2, it is very low compared to the historical high of $6 billion recorded last September. The weakness in the derivatives market is an unfavorable factor for investors expecting price increases. However, funding rates remain positive, indicating that bulls are still willing to maintain long positions despite paying fees.

From a technical analysis perspective, Dogecoin is showing a flow between neutral and bearish. The current price is finding support near the 50-day exponential moving average of $0.096 and the middle band of the Bollinger Bands. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is declining from the mid-50s towards the midline, and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is maintaining a buy signal, but upward pressure is limited. With technical indicators sending mixed signals, breaking through the strong resistance zone around $0.100 in the short term is crucial.

Upper resistance levels are formed at the upper Bollinger Band of $0.101 and the 100-day exponential moving average of $0.104. If bulls gain momentum, there is a possibility of an ascent to the 200-day exponential moving average of $0.126. Conversely, if the downtrend continues and the $0.096 support level breaks, there is a risk of the price falling to the lower Bollinger Band of $0.091 and the previous trend breakout zone of $0.089.

Dogecoin is currently maintaining a narrow sideways trend amidst macroeconomic uncertainty and individual investors' wait-and-see attitude. Market volatility is expected to continue until the Federal Reserve's monetary policy direction is confirmed, and whether key support levels are defended will be a crucial variable determining future price direction.

*Disclaimer: This article is for investment reference only, and we are not responsible for investment losses based on it. The content should be interpreted for informational purposes only.*