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▲ XRP (XRP)/AI Generated Image
As XRP has shown signs of rebound or bullish reversal every July since 2020, market attention is focused on whether the same seasonal trend will repeat this year after the sharp decline in June.
According to the crypto-focused media outlet The Crypto Basic on July 2 (local time), XRP has never recorded a bearish monthly candle in July since 2020. The outlet reported that XRP had recorded bearish monthly candles for 8 out of 9 months since October 2025, and with a drop of about 22% in June 2026, the possibility of a July rebound is once again gaining attention.
Past trends have been presented as key evidence supporting expectations for a July rebound. XRP fell by 13.55% in a bear market in June 2020 but surged over 48% in July of the same year, marking its largest monthly gain in nearly two years. The upward trend then continued until it reached a high of $1.96 in April 2021.
A similar trend appeared in 2021. After falling 34.77% in May 2021 and 32.3% in June, XRP rebounded 6.91% in July and gained an additional 59% in August. In 2022, due to the collapse of the Terra ecosystem, it plunged 59% from April to June, but in July, it recovered 14%, alleviating downward pressure.
From 2023 to 2025, July acted as a turning point for XRP's trend, going beyond a simple rebound. In July 2023, Judge Analisa Torres ruled in the Ripple lawsuit that XRP itself was not a security, and immediately after this decision, XRP surged 47% throughout July, reaching around $0.94. In July 2024, it rose 31%, becoming a turning point that broke the long-term sideways trend that had continued since July 2022.
In July 2025, XRP also ended a brief sideways movement in the $2 to $3 range and rebounded, reaching an all-time high of $3.66. The outlet compiled that XRP's average July gain since 2020 is 30%. As of July 2026, it has recovered more than 2% from $1.03 to $1.07, and if the 30% gain is replicated, it could rise to $1.33, regaining the $1.30 level, the analysis stated.
However, the outlet cautioned that past performance does not guarantee future trends. While XRP's July bullish pattern fuels rebound expectations among market participants, reversing the long-term downtrend that has continued since October 2025 requires stronger buying pressure and confirmation of a trend reversal, rather than simple seasonality. Ultimately, in July of this year, XRP has entered a critical phase where it must decide its direction between its repeated rebound pattern and the long-term bearish structure.
[Article Summary]
-XRP has shown a rebound or bullish reversal trend every July since 2020, with an average July gain of 30%.
-In June 2026, XRP fell by about 22%, but in July, it recovered more than 2% from $1.03 to $1.07.
-If past patterns repeat, XRP could rise to $1.33, but the outlet stated that past performance does not guarantee future trends.
*Disclaimer: This article is for investment reference only, and we are not responsible for any investment losses based on it. The content should be interpreted for informational purposes only.*
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