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▲ Bitcoin (BTC) Rise/AI Generated Image
An unusual trend has been observed in the Bitcoin (Bitcoin, BTC) market, where liquidity that had been held in stablecoins is now moving back to the main asset, raising expectations for a full-fledged rebound.
According to Bitcoinist, a cryptocurrency media outlet, on April 12 (local time), on-chain analyst Darkfost analyzed that Bitcoin's realized market capitalization metric is showing a clear recovery. This indicator has rapidly improved from approximately -$28.7 billion at the end of February to -$3 billion recently. This is interpreted as a key signal showing that funds within the market are flowing back into Bitcoin.
The capital flow is also clearly evident in the stablecoin market. The stablecoin market capitalization, which exceeded $6 billion at the end of February, has recently plummeted to approximately -$1 billion. This is analyzed as funds that had been waiting in the market as reserve assets moving directly into Bitcoin, signaling the beginning of an asset revaluation phase. This trend is the first instance observed during this bear market period and is attracting attention as an early sign of a shift in market structure.
Changes in market participants' positions are also being detected. Virtual asset analyst Michaël van de Poppe assessed that short-term investors are currently maintaining a net buying stance on Bitcoin. He predicted that the Bitcoin price has the potential to rise to the $80,000 to $85,000 range in the short term. However, he also raised the possibility of increased volatility, adding that a cautious approach is necessary.
Although Bitcoin's price has recently been consolidating around $70,000, the recovery of realized market capitalization is positively evaluated as it signifies an improvement in market strength beyond a simple price rebound. In particular, the faster stablecoin liquidity is absorbed, the greater the likelihood of strengthening upward momentum.
The industry is giving weight to the possibility that this capital rotation signal marks the early stages of a Bitcoin bull market. This is because after a long period of adjustment, liquidity is now showing a trend of moving back into risk assets. Whether this capital movement will spread to the altcoin market in the future is emerging as a key variable for the next bull run.
*Disclaimer: This article is for investment reference only, and we are not responsible for any investment losses based on it. The content should be interpreted for informational purposes only.*
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